Last week, her work earned Miller the third annual F. Herbert Bormann Prize
, an award that honors an F&ES doctoral student whose work best exemplifies the legacy of the longtime professor.
She was recognized for a review of an emerging strategy known as spatial prediction risk modeling, in which scientists use data of past attacks to predict and map hotspots of livestock depredation. The paper, “Mapping attack hotspots to mitigate human-carnivore conflict,” was published in the journal Biodiversity and Conservation
The article described spatial risk models and how they have been used by conservationists in outreach to livestock owners, managers, and policymakers.
The spatial modeling method described by Miller was first introduced in a 2004 paper
that examined decades of data on wolf predation on livestock in Wisconsin.
“Prior to that studies tended to count the number of attacks, documented when the attacks occurred, the villages where they occurred, and the characteristics of those villages,” Miller says. “But there weren’t many quantitative ways to assess the characteristics of where and when those attacks occur and then predict where future attacks might occur.